Electoral reform – will Conservative MPs vote for the referendum?

This is an interesting illustration from the Electoral Commission showing the likely effect of different voting systems on the General Election outcome. Not good news for the Conservative Party. The last minute concession to a referendum on AV was probably needed to seal the coalition deal, but will Conservative MPs defy the whip and refuse to back the legislation for a referendum? If the Electoral Commission is right, there is a Turkeys voting for Christmas problem for the senior partners in the coalition government.